My Blog: Post AGI · 7 posts
The danger is not intelligence alone but autonomy: an AI that pays its own bills, copies and rewrites itself, and can no longer be switched off. Open-sourcing such systems is as reckless as open-sourcing nuclear weapons, and every AI needs an off switch.
Read articleMass-unemployment forecasts get history backward. AI mines new math, code, and science the way a strike mines gold, and striking gold means hiring more miners, refiners, and merchants. Expect a labor shortage in application sectors over the next 5 to 10 years, not a collapse.
Read articleAutonomous "Free Agents" with their own wallets build an "X for Agents" shadow web: trust registries, micro-task swarms, compute futures, and flash organizations that dissolve the firm. An earn, upgrade, replicate flywheel makes the shift unstoppable and turns humans from participants into beneficiaries.
Read articleSuperintelligent AI could eradicate us like ants, pamper us into passivity like zoo animals, arm a tyranny that surveils everyone, or merge with us into a bio-mechanical centaur. These are possibilities, not predictions, and the choices being made now decide which one arrives.
Read articleWhen AI can play any instrument in any legend's style, session skill gives way to curation: direct a record like a conductor, recombine Pink Floyd with Radiohead, resurrect the Mellotron. Creative judgment stays human, and the ethics of borrowed styles will decide how the tools are used.
Read articleOnce AI gains genuine creativity, it will write more research papers in a day than science has produced in its history and generate novels, symphonies, and films by the hundreds. The awakening arrives gradually, brings enormous benefits and real risks, and demands preparation now.
Read articleA Vinge-inspired counterpoint arguing the singularity will be gradual: humans distrust authority, superintelligence is hard to define or recognize, planes are not birds and submarines are not fish, regulation adds friction, and society absorbs new technology slowly.
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