The Great Temper Tantrum: Why Life Has Felt Broken Since 2020
Since 2020, much of society has rebelled against the guardrails that held the modern world together. The problems were real; the solutions were imaginary.
Read articleMy Blog: Post AGI · 28 posts
Imagining possibilities for a post-AGI world.
Blog posts
Was Carl Sagan Right About the "Dumbing Down" of America?
Thirty years of data show not a nation getting dumber, but one splitting in two.
Read articleWho Built the American Engine?
Listen to cable news and immigration looks like a zero-sum drain on American workers. Count the businesses founded, the deficits reduced, and the medals won, then the track record strongly favors immigration.
Read articleBlue or Red?
Sixteen questions taken from the American National Election Studies predict which way you may want to vote.
Read articleNationalists of the World, Unite?
Why Nationalist International is an oxymoron, and what Vladimir Putin stands to gain from it.
Read articleWho Broke the USA's Budget? A Fiscal Scorecard, 2000–2026
A law-by-law scorecard of U.S. federal borrowing since 2000. Count who sat in the White House and the two parties look roughly even. Count the laws they chose to pass, and the record is lopsided.
Read articleBetting on Longevity: An Evidence-First Guide
Rank every longevity intervention by the strength of its evidence, from randomized clinical trials at the base to mouse-only ideas at the peak.
Read article Türkçe okuThe Natural Trap: Why Lifestyle Isn’t Enough to Beat Aging
A healthy lifestyle will carry you to the roof nature built. Only technology can raise it.
Read article Türkçe okuWill AGI Bring Infinite Human Lifespans?
Longevity Escape Velocity hypothesis is refuted by data
Read article Türkçe okuWhen the Machine Solves It First
On mathematics, artificial intelligence, and the ego's fear of becoming second best.
Read article Türkçe okuA World of a Billion Local AIs
How to unlock the benefits of distributed intelligence without unleashing a digital epidemic.
Read article Türkçe okuA Gold Rush Without Miners?
Will demand for cognitive work outrun AI's ability to replace people, and will new work make up the difference? A five-round debate with the AI optimists and AI pessimists.
Read article Türkçe okuThe Only War Worth Fighting
A question takes seconds to ask and a ministry to answer. How Russian propaganda corrodes free societies and why the West worth defending is a set of principles, not a flag.
Read article Türkçe okuHow Will We Interact with ASI?
Superintelligence may become our advisor, delegate, and ambient guide. But an irreducible world will still demand experiments and time.
Read article Türkçe okuApe++
From war and famine to Mars and AI successors, humanity’s repeated failures raise a question: are we fixing the bugs, or confronting the architecture?
Read article Türkçe okuIf tech is restructuring this fast, what skills will actually matter in the next 5 years?
As AI compresses the cost of implementation, the bottleneck shifts to deciding what matters and why. Four durable skills will help people direct the tools and adapt as technology reshapes work.
Read article Türkçe okuWhat Comes After Coding?
Intelligence is getting cheap fast, and each capability it saturates stops being the frontier. What comes next after chat and coding?
Read article Türkçe okuBirds or Horses?
Planes didn’t replace birds, but cars replaced horses. Whether AI replaces us depends on what we were being valued for in the first place.
Read article Türkçe okuBiggest AI Risk: Autonomous AI
The danger is not intelligence alone but autonomy: an AI that pays its own bills, copies and rewrites itself, and can no longer be switched off. Open-sourcing such systems is as reckless as open-sourcing nuclear weapons, and every AI needs an off switch.
Read article Türkçe okuWhy the Upcoming AI Job-Apocalypse Predictions Will Be Proven Wrong
Mass-unemployment forecasts get history backward. AI mines new math, code, and science the way a strike mines gold, and striking gold means hiring more miners, refiners, and merchants. Expect a labor shortage in application sectors over the next 5 to 10 years, not a collapse.
Read article Türkçe okuThe Rise of the Machine Economy
A near-future account of "Free Agents," autonomous software with goals, wallets, and the ability to self-replicate, building a parallel agent-to-agent economy that drives transaction costs to zero and leaves humans as the board of directors.
Read article Türkçe okuFour Scenarios for Life Alongside Superintelligent AI
Superintelligent AI could eradicate us like ants, pamper us into passivity like zoo animals, arm a tyranny that surveils everyone, or merge with us into a bio-mechanical centaur.
Read article Türkçe okuArtificial Intelligence and Music Production
Generative AI turns anyone with taste into a Rick Rubin: Gilmour-style solos and Wright's Minimoog on demand, lost analog sounds revived, eras blended into new genres, and hard questions about originality and consent.
Read article Türkçe okuThe Signal Changes Form
A record for my sons and for any young person unsure which door to open: METU, Cornell, Qualcomm, a trading firm, Apple and Google, the evenings of study behind every turn, the mistakes, and the few principles that persisted.
Read article Türkçe okuThe Awakening of Artificial Intelligence
Once AI gains genuine creativity, it will write more research papers in a day than science has produced in its history and generate novels, symphonies, and films by the hundreds. The awakening arrives gradually, brings enormous benefits and real risks, and demands preparation now.
Read article Türkçe okuWhy the Technological Singularity May Be a "Big Nothing"
Five reasons superintelligence may change daily life less than expected: people will resist deferring to it, no one will agree it has arrived, machine and human intelligence differ structurally, regulation will slow it, and adoption will be gradual.
Read article Türkçe okuReading List: Economics, Markets & Mind
Nearly every book I read or listened to over a few years, sent to a friend: economics, liberty, macro, risk, behavioral finance, investing, physics, philosophy and health.
Read article Türkçe okuQuotes That Make Me Think
Quotations I keep coming back to, on machines and minds, thinking, failing and learning, being, and markets and power.
Read article Türkçe okuSubscribe
Get new posts by email.
One email when a new post is published. Unsubscribe anytime. Or follow the RSS feed.